View as a webpage | Thursday, November 7, 2013 | |||||||||
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Massachusetts real gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2013 according to the latest MassBenchmarks Current Economic Index, released today by MassBenchmarks, the journal of the Massachusetts economy published by the UMass Donahue Institute in collaboration with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. "Our estimate of the state's economic growth in the third quarter is based on incomplete data because of a delay in the state's employment report for September until November 22, a direct result of the shutdown of the federal government last month," noted Dr. Alan Clayton-Matthews, MassBenchmarks Senior Contributing Editor and Associate Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Northeastern University, who compiles and analyzes the Current and Leading Indexes. Based on state withholding and sales taxes, nominal wage and salary income increased at a 2.9 percent annualized rate in the third quarter, and nominal spending on items subject to regular sales taxes and automobiles increased at a brisk 6.5 percent annualized rate. In contrast, wage and salary income in the second quarter declined by 6.9 percent, and spending increased by a more modest 2.0 percent. According to the Leading Index, economic growth is estimated to continue to improve over the next six months, growing at an annualized rate of 3.4 percent from October through next March. The indicators on which the Leading Index is based, however, do not incorporate the effects of the federal government shutdown and its aftereffects (including the continuation of sequestration spending reductions), since most of the information on which the index is based was collected through September, before the shutdown began. Therefore, fourth quarter growth will likely be several tenths of a percentage point lower than the 3.4 percent projected by the Index. MassBenchmarks is published by the University of Massachusetts Donahue Institute in cooperation with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. The Donahue Institute is the public service, outreach, and economic development unit of the University of Massachusetts Office of the President. The Current and Leading Indexes are compiled and analyzed by Dr. Clayton-Matthews, Associate Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Northeastern University and released quarterly by MassBenchmarks. For a full breakdown of the latest indexes, click here. A comprehensive analysis of the state of the Massachusetts economy can be found in the most recent issue of MassBenchmarks. For more information please contact:
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For timely and comprehensive analysis of the Massachusetts economy, please visit MassBenchmarks at www.massbenchmarks.org |